Overhead Alberta Aurora Possible January 24
35% probability of Overhead Alberta Aurora January 24 +/-24hrs
Cause: Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) associated with the Dec 22 solar flare.
On 24 Jan, a glancing blow from the first of two CMEs is likely to cause unsettled to active conditions. By early to midday on 25 Jan, the 22 Jan CME is expected to arrive causing a further increase to active to G1 (Minor) storming, with a chance for G2 (Moderate) storm levels. Waning CME conditions are likely on 26 Jan with unsettled to active periods..
- Space Weather Prediction Center
Expectations
Overhead/KP5 Aurora can be 100's of kms long over Alberta, can often be seen throughout the province from rural areas.
Locations: anywhere in Alberta with clear skies
Edmonton Latitudes
KP4 can be seen halfway up the northern sky, approaching overhead
KP5/G1 can be seen overhead
KP6/G2 and greater can be seen overhead and possibly under urban skies
KP7/G3 and greater can be seen across the entire sky and possibly under urban skies
Calgary Latitudes
KP4 can be halfway up the northern sky
KP5/G1 can approach overhead
KP6/G2 and greater can be seen overhead and possibly under urban skies
KP7/G3 and greater can be seen across the entire sky and possibly under urban skies
In the Mountains
KP4 Aurora may not be high enough to be visible over the mountains
KP5/G1 can peek over the mountain tops
KP6/G2 and greater can be seen overhead
KP7/G3 and greater can be seen across the entire sky and possibly under urban skies
Lethbridge Latitudes
KP4 Aurora may be visible on the northern horizon
KP5/G1 can can be halfway up the northern sky
KP6/G2 and greater can be seen overhead
KP7/G3 and greater can be seen across the entire sky and possibly under urban skies
Etiquette
If you're in an area with a lot of people, there will be cars with headlights on; don't let it upset you.
If you're parking in a place with a lot of people, try to turn your headlights off if possible
Drive carefully, park your car fully off the road
Stay off of private property
Forecast sources
https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-geomag-forecast.txt
https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/discussion.txt
SpaceWeatherLive